Technical Analysis - Gold/Silver Ratio - Paused, or about to stall

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William Adamswilliam.adams@fastmarkets.comHead of Research+44 (0)20 7264 2489
Short term:Flat
Medium term:Up
Long term:Down
Resistances:
R159.06
R259.22
R360.49 Spike Sept '11
Support:
S156.90
S254.70
S352.75
S451.35
S550.12
S647.48
Stochastics:
Bearish (for the ratio)
Image

Analysis

  • The run-up in the ratio since early March highlighted the risk-off attitude towards bullion, but that now seems to be changing with the ratio turning flat in recent weeks. 
  • The stochastics are however, starting to fall so we wait to see if the ratio follows it lower.
  • If it does, then that would suggest that silver prices are rising faster than those of gold and that in turn may suggest investors are jumping into silver as a cheaper proxy for gold.
  • Away from the technicals - we note that in recent days and weeks that buying of bullion ETFs has picked up, as has the net long fund positions on gold and silver. 

Conclusion

The scene looks ripe for further gains in bullion prices - a pick-up in buying of silver would suggest bullish sentiment is getting stronger.

All trades or trading strategies mentioned in the report are hypothetical, for illustration only and do not constitute trading recommendations.


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