Technical Analysis - Silver - Still encountering overhead resistance

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William Adamswilliam.adams@fastmarkets.comHead of Research+44 (0)20 7264 2489
Short term:Flat
Medium term:Up
Long term:Down
Resistances:
R135.195 High so far
R235.67
R337.51 Feb peak
Support:
S133.34 Recent low
S233.25 HSL (daily)
S333.14 SL
S432.48 Recent low
S530.22 Aug 30 low
S629.91
Stochastics:
Crosses higher
Legend:
  • BB = Bollinger band

(H)SL = (Horizontal) support line

MACD = Moving average convergence divergence

 

Image

Analysis

  • Silver's rally reached $35.396 yesterday, overcoming the previous peak at $35.195, but prices struggled to hold onto gains.
  • Prices have generally held up relatively well during the recent consolidation, especially while the technical indicators on the daily chart were falling fast.
  • The stochastics crossed higher again on Thursday, however, and struggled on Friday and intraday yesterday but are now pointing higher again.
  • The move above the recent high bodes well although the overhead tail implies there was scale-up selling around. 
  • We see resistance around $35.66-35.68 - clearance of that area would open the gate for a challenge of the February peak at $37.51. 

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Conclusion

We have been bullish for silver in the medium term since mid-August. We have viewed the recent pause as a bout of consolidation and now feel that prices are well placed to advance again, although they seem in no hurry to do so for now.

All trades or trading strategies mentioned in the report are hypothetical, for illustration only and do not constitute trading recommendations.


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